Project · August 16, 2018
Which NBA rookies become stars?
An R project using first-year statistics to classify future regular players, All-Stars, and Hall of Famers.
I have always followed Bay Area sports, so this project began with a question I already cared about: how much can an NBA rookie season tell us about the career that follows?
Using historical player data, I built an R model that grouped players into regular, All-Star, and Hall of Fame outcomes from their first-year statistics. It was an early experiment, not a scouting system, but it made model limitations tangible: rare outcomes are hard to learn, labels hide nuance, and the most interesting careers are often the exceptions.